Saints vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

At Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Nov. 17, the New Orleans Saints play the Cleveland Browns, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET. The Saints should win, based on our computer model — continue reading to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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Despite having a bottom-five defense that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (385.6 yards allowed per game), the Saints have had more success on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th in the NFL by totaling 334.8 yards per game. The Browns have not been getting things done on offense, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 16.4 points per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, surrendering 23.7 points per contest (21st-ranked).

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Saints vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (-1) Toss Up (44.5) Saints 25, Browns 18

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Saints Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Saints a 52.4% chance to win.
  • New Orleans has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
  • The Saints have been favored by 1 point or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • New Orleans and its opponent have combined to go over the point total six out of 10 times this season.
  • The over/under for this game is 44.5 points, one more than the average point total for Saints games this season.

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Browns Betting Info

  • The Browns have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cleveland has covered three times in nine games with a spread this season.
  • The Browns have covered the spread three times this season (3-3 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
  • In Cleveland’s nine contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (playoffs included) of 41.4.

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Saints vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Saints 22.7 24.6 23.2 25.2 22.2 24
Browns 16.4 23.7 17 25.2 15.8 21.8

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