Based on our computer model, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will beat the New Orleans Saints when they play at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 (at 1 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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On the offensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by averaging 29.7 points per game. They rank 17th on defense (22.9 points allowed per game). With 19.9 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Saints rank 23rd in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 18th, allowing 23.2 points per contest.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 13.3% chance of a victory for the Saints.
• New Orleans has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover 10 times.
• The Saints have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 14-point underdogs.
• New Orleans and its opponent have combined to hit the over seven out of 16 times this year.
• Saints games average 43.3 total points (playoffs included), 1.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Buccaneers’ implied win probability is 90.9%.
• Tampa Bay has put together a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season.
• In Tampa Bay’s 16 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times.
• Buccaneers games have had an average of 45.5 points this season, 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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